Danubio vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
FEN
0 - 2
DAN
35%
26%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
DAN
2 - 0
CSC
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
DAN
1 - 2
ROC
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
DAN
1 - 3
DEF
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
DAN
0 - 1
REN
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 0
MWA
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 2
LFC
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
CCP
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
CCP
2 - 0
DEF
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
DEF
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |