Australia Second Division Victory Round 15

Dandenong Thunder SC vs Manningham United analysis

Dandenong Thunder SC Manningham United
25 ELO 21
11.3% Tilt -1.5%
4966º General ELO ranking 51481º
50º Country ELO ranking 895º
ELO win probability
63.7%
Dandenong Thunder SC
17.5%
Draw
18.8%
Manningham United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
Dandenong Thunder SC
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
18.8%
Win probability
Manningham United
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dandenong Thunder SC
+139%
-5%
Manningham United

Points and table prediction

Dandenong Thunder SC
Their league position
Manningham United
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
12º
10º
18
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
South Melbourne
60
60
100%
Avondale Heights
54
54
100%
Oakleigh Cannons
53
53
100%
Heidelberg Utd
51
51
100%
Hume City FC
50
50
100%
Dandenong City
37
37
100%
FC Melbourne Knights
35
35
100%
Altona Magic
33
33
0%
Port Melbourne Sharks
33
33
0%
Dandenong Thunder SC
10º
28
28
10º
100%
St Albans Saints
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Green Gully Cavaliers
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Manningham United
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Moreland City
14º
14
14
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dandenong Thunder SC
Manningham United
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Dandenong Thunder SC
Manningham United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dandenong Thunder SC
Dandenong Thunder SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2024
HUM
Hume City FC
0 - 0
Dandenong Thunder SC
DAN
72%
17%
11%
24 38 14 0
11 May. 2024
MCF
Moreland City
4 - 0
Dandenong Thunder SC
DAN
14%
17%
69%
26 13 13 -2
03 May. 2024
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
0 - 3
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
30%
23%
48%
27 37 10 -1
27 Apr. 2024
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
3 - 0
St Albans Saints
STA
67%
18%
15%
26 22 4 +1
20 Apr. 2024
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
0 - 8
Avondale Heights
AVH
11%
19%
71%
28 49 21 -2

Matches

Manningham United
Manningham United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2024
MNG
Manningham United
1 - 4
Oakleigh Cannons
OAK
18%
22%
61%
22 49 27 0
11 May. 2024
MNG
Manningham United
4 - 5
Altona Magic
ALM
28%
21%
51%
22 30 8 0
04 May. 2024
HEU
Heidelberg Utd
5 - 0
Manningham United
MNG
78%
13%
9%
22 42 20 0
27 Apr. 2024
MNG
Manningham United
2 - 3
Dandenong City
DAC
36%
22%
42%
22 27 5 0
20 Apr. 2024
MNG
Manningham United
1 - 3
Hume City FC
HUM
24%
21%
55%
23 36 13 -1