Dalum vs BGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dalum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
NAE
1 - 1
DAL
60%
20%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
DAL
7 - 1
VEN
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
BGA
1 - 4
DAL
42%
25%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
DAL
3 - 2
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
KAL
5 - 2
DAL
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
BGA
4 - 1
JAM
41%
25%
35%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
HVI
1 - 1
BGA
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
BGA
1 - 4
DAL
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
NOR
3 - 3
BGA
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
BGA
1 - 0
KOL
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |