Lowland Football League Scotland Round 32

Dalbeattie Star vs Spartans analysis

Dalbeattie Star Spartans
16 ELO 48
12.4% Tilt 15%
15365º General ELO ranking 3449º
126º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
7%
Dalbeattie Star
13.7%
Draw
79.3%
Spartans

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
Dalbeattie Star
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
79.3%
Win probability
Spartans
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Dalbeattie Star
Their league position
Spartans
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
16º
18º
19º
79
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Spartans
79
79
100%
Rangers FC II
74
77
100%
Celtic II
76
76
100%
Stirling University
71
71
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
65
65
100%
East Kilbride
64
64
100%
Berwick Rangers
61
61
100%
Civil Service Strollers
58
58
100%
Bo'ness United
54
54
100%
Caledonian Braves
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Broomhill FC
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Hearts II
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Cowdenbeath
15º
36
36
15º
100%
East Stirlingshire
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
26
26
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Dalbeattie Star
19º
8
8
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dalbeattie Star
Spartans
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Dalbeattie Star
Spartans
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dalbeattie Star
Dalbeattie Star
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
EAS
East Kilbride
5 - 2
Dalbeattie Star
DAL
87%
9%
4%
17 46 29 0
08 Feb. 2023
DAL
Dalbeattie Star
0 - 4
Broomhill FC
BFC
10%
14%
76%
18 38 20 -1
04 Feb. 2023
CIV
Civil Service Strollers
2 - 2
Dalbeattie Star
DAL
82%
12%
6%
18 37 19 0
28 Jan. 2023
DAL
Dalbeattie Star
1 - 6
Stirling University
STI
8%
15%
77%
19 45 26 -1
14 Jan. 2023
RFC
Rangers FC II
6 - 1
Dalbeattie Star
DAL
91%
7%
2%
19 51 32 0

Matches

Spartans
Spartans
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
SPA
Spartans
3 - 0
AFC Edinburgh University
AFC
90%
8%
2%
47 9 38 0
08 Feb. 2023
BON
Bo'ness United
0 - 1
Spartans
SPA
30%
24%
46%
47 39 8 0
28 Jan. 2023
SPA
Spartans
5 - 1
Caledonian Braves
CBF
69%
18%
13%
47 36 11 0
14 Jan. 2023
SPA
Spartans
2 - 2
Broomhill FC
BFC
67%
19%
14%
47 37 10 0
07 Jan. 2023
EAS
East Kilbride
0 - 1
Spartans
SPA
51%
23%
26%
46 48 2 +1