Daimiel vs Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daimiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 0
DAI
45%
26%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
HEL
4 - 1
DAI
64%
21%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
DAI
1 - 1
TAR
60%
22%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
AZU
3 - 3
DAI
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
DAI
1 - 1
VIL
34%
28%
39%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
3 - 1
UDS
61%
23%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
ROD
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
TOM
0 - 1
MAN
38%
30%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 1
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ILL
0 - 0
MAN
46%
28%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |