Cynthia vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
73.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cynthia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
CYN
73%
18%
9%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CYN
0 - 4
GEL
16%
24%
60%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PIC
1 - 0
CYN
71%
16%
12%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CYN
2 - 2
CSV
25%
23%
53%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BIS
3 - 1
CYN
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NOC
2 - 0
ANZ
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FBC
2 - 2
NOC
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
BIS
1 - 1
NOC
35%
25%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NOC
4 - 0
AVH
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GEL
3 - 1
NOC
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |