Cwmbran Celtic vs Llantwit Major analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
54.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TRE
3 - 1
CWM
53%
20%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CWM
2 - 2
BRI
18%
21%
61%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CWM
1 - 0
AAF
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
PON
3 - 4
CWM
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
GOY
1 - 3
CWM
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LLA
4 - 0
YAF
76%
15%
10%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 1
ABE
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
LLA
56%
22%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BRI
3 - 0
LLA
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
LID
2 - 2
LLA
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |