Curslack-Neuengamme vs Süderelbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
76.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
3º
18º
17º
6
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
6 | 82 |
1º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 66 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 65 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 60 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 59 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 58 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 57 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 54 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 52 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 51 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 48 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 42 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 41 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 34 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 30 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 27 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 20 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 16 |
18º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
14.5% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
85.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2025 |
ETH
5 - 0
CUR
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
DAS
4 - 0
CUR
89%
8%
2%
|
25 | 71 | 46 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
CUR
4 - 1
HEB
12%
19%
69%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CUR
1 - 3
VOW
21%
19%
60%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LOH
2 - 1
CUR
27%
20%
53%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2025 |
SUD
5 - 3
FNT
91%
7%
2%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
THA
3 - 6
SUD
24%
22%
54%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SUD
0 - 2
SAS
60%
19%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
SUD
0 - 1
BUC
62%
19%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
VOW
5 - 3
SUD
42%
22%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |