CONCACAF Cup U20 Caribe 1ra Ronda Final
Global 2-4
Curaçao U20s vs Aruba U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curaçao U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1992 |
JAM
1 - 0
CUR
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1992 |
HND
4 - 0
CUR
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
MEX
5 - 0
CUR
78%
14%
9%
|
25 | 59 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
CUR
4 - 3
HAI
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +3 |
| 27 Nov. 1991 |
CUR
2 - 1
BAR
60%
21%
20%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |