Cumbernauld Colts vs Gretna 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumbernauld Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 6
STI
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
THE
2 - 0
CUM
83%
12%
6%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
DAL
3 - 1
CUM
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CUM
2 - 3
GAL
23%
22%
56%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 0
BRA
7%
14%
79%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RFC
9 - 1
GRE
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
THE
8%
15%
77%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
6 - 2
GRE
90%
8%
2%
|
25 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 2
GRE
11%
16%
72%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BER
1 - 1
GRE
64%
19%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |