Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 1-3
Cuiabá vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
URO
0 - 1
CUI
19%
26%
56%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CUI
2 - 3
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 1
CUI
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CUI
3 - 2
AAC
78%
16%
7%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
CUI
3 - 1
APA
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
BAH
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 2
NAU
11%
21%
68%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 1
CUI
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
FEC
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
BAH
2 - 1
NAU
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |