Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-3
Cuiabá vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
66.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 2
CUI
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
CUI
2 - 0
FOR
21%
27%
52%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
CUI
47%
28%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CUI
2 - 0
BOT
31%
29%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
REM
2 - 0
CUI
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AMF
1 - 2
CHA
30%
28%
43%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
SCI
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ATM
3 - 1
CHA
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
PAL
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |