CSP vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
CSP
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 0
CSP
28%
24%
47%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
CSP
8 - 2
CRI
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CSP
7 - 1
AUT
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 2
CSP
34%
25%
42%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
TRE
4 - 0
ATL
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
AUT
0 - 4
TRE
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
TRE
4 - 0
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TRE
3 - 4
BOT
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
CRI
0 - 1
TRE
15%
21%
64%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |