CSP vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CSP
2 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CSP
2 - 0
AUT
57%
22%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CSP
3 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 2
CSP
18%
21%
61%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CSP
0 - 0
SOU
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 1
LUC
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
AUT
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
SOU
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 1
SOU
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 0
SPO
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 7 | 41 | 0 |