CSP vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
CSP
2 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 9
CSP
13%
18%
70%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CSP
1 - 1
CAM
29%
24%
46%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
CSP
4 - 2
SPO
78%
14%
7%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CAM
3 - 1
CSP
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 2
SOU
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 0
QUE
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
SOU
19%
21%
61%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 1
SOU
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 0
SAN
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |