CSP vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
60.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
CSP
0 - 1
SPB
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TRE
3 - 0
CSP
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
CSP
0 - 1
AUT
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 0
CSP
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
CSP
0 - 2
SOU
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOT
82%
12%
5%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
4 - 1
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 2
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
IPB
1 - 1
BOT
13%
20%
68%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |