CSP vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
CSP
2 - 4
TRE
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
CSP
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 0
CSP
28%
24%
47%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
CSP
8 - 2
CRI
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CSP
7 - 1
AUT
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
AUT
0 - 3
BOT
23%
24%
54%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
5 - 0
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CRI
0 - 1
BOT
14%
21%
65%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
BOT
23%
24%
52%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TRE
3 - 4
BOT
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |