Liga III Grupo 10 - Ascenso round 3

CSM Satu Mare vs Minaur Baia Mare analysis

CSM Satu Mare Minaur Baia Mare
48 ELO 52
-5.9% Tilt -10.5%
4854º General ELO ranking 4171º
54º Country ELO ranking 45º
ELO win probability
33.2%
CSM Satu Mare
25.7%
Draw
41.1%
Minaur Baia Mare

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
CSM Satu Mare
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.1%
Win probability
Minaur Baia Mare
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CSM Satu Mare
+71%
+12%
Minaur Baia Mare

Points and table prediction

CSM Satu Mare
Their league position
Minaur Baia Mare
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
59
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CSM Satu Mare
54
20
100%
Minaur Baia Mare
59
17
100%
SCM Zalău
52
12
100%
Crişul Sântandrei
32
3
100%
Expected probabilities
CSM Satu Mare
Minaur Baia Mare
Promotion play-offs
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

CSM Satu Mare
Minaur Baia Mare
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CSM Satu Mare
CSM Satu Mare
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2025
CSC
Crişul Sântandrei
0 - 1
CSM Satu Mare
CSM
33%
26%
41%
48 38 10 0
22 Mar. 2025
ZAL
SCM Zalău
0 - 2
CSM Satu Mare
CSM
59%
22%
19%
46 50 4 +2
14 Mar. 2025
OSM
Olimpia MCMXXI
0 - 2
CSM Satu Mare
CSM
14%
19%
67%
46 22 24 0
08 Mar. 2025
CSM
CSM Satu Mare
3 - 0
Sănătatea Cluj
SNT
44%
24%
31%
44 43 1 +2
01 Mar. 2025
ACV
Vulturul Mintiu Gherlii
0 - 1
CSM Satu Mare
CSM
12%
17%
71%
44 16 28 0

Matches

Minaur Baia Mare
Minaur Baia Mare
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2025
MBM
Minaur Baia Mare
1 - 0
SCM Zalău
ZAL
58%
22%
21%
52 49 3 0
22 Mar. 2025
MBM
Minaur Baia Mare
4 - 1
Crişul Sântandrei
CSC
66%
19%
15%
51 39 12 +1
15 Mar. 2025
MBM
Minaur Baia Mare
5 - 0
Diosig-Bihardiószeg
DIO
76%
15%
9%
51 13 38 0
08 Mar. 2025
CSC
Crişul Sântandrei
1 - 3
Minaur Baia Mare
MBM
30%
25%
45%
50 39 11 +1
01 Mar. 2025
MBM
Minaur Baia Mare
4 - 2
SCM Zalău
ZAL
47%
25%
29%
49 50 1 +1