CSKA Sofia vs Montana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
BER
1 - 0
CSK
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
LSO
0 - 0
CSK
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
CSK
1 - 1
OFK
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
LOK
1 - 0
CSK
34%
28%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CSK
4 - 1
SPO
79%
15%
5%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
MON
0 - 1
LSO
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
SSO
4 - 0
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
LOV
24%
27%
50%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
FKM
1 - 1
MON
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MON
3 - 0
BOT
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |