Europa League . 1/32
Global 2-0
CSKA Sofia vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
OFK
0 - 3
CSK
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
CSK
3 - 0
NEF
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
LEV
0 - 1
CSK
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
LSO
1 - 1
CSK
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
LIV
0 - 1
CSK
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEV
56%
22%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
LEV
2 - 1
KOL
71%
17%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
MSV
1 - 3
LEV
22%
23%
55%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
LEV
0 - 1
CSK
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
LEV
1 - 1
S04
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |