CSKA Sofia vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
65.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1959 |
SEP
1 - 2
CSK
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1959 |
CSK
0 - 0
BOT
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1959 |
CSK
5 - 1
DUN
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1958 |
ATM
3 - 1
CSK
85%
10%
6%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1958 |
CSK
1 - 0
ATM
33%
23%
44%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1959 |
FCB
4 - 1
GRA
96%
3%
1%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1959 |
FCB
3 - 1
RMA
74%
14%
12%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1959 |
RMA
2 - 4
FCB
65%
17%
17%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
FCB
4 - 3
BET
96%
3%
1%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
BET
0 - 6
FCB
17%
20%
62%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |