Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 6-1
CSKA Sofia vs Admira Wacker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
CSK
2 - 0
LPL
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
CSK
37%
25%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
CSK
1 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
CSK
1 - 3
POM
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
BIF
3 - 3
CSK
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Admira Wacker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
NEU
1 - 0
AWM
5%
11%
84%
|
78 | 34 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
AWM
0 - 1
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
AWM
0 - 1
FCR
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
FCM
0 - 0
AWM
4%
11%
86%
|
78 | 36 | 42 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
EBR
1 - 2
AWM
8%
16%
76%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |