Vargas Torres vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
15%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
16%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
30.9%
48.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
18.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
9º
59
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
CSV
37%
29%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CSV
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
MAN
26%
31%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
CSV
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
INJ
22%
30%
48%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 1
DEL
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
OCT
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
RIV
21%
28%
51%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 0
CHA
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |