Serie B - Ecuador Normal Season Round 16

Vargas Torres vs San Antonio analysis

Vargas Torres San Antonio
65 ELO 55
-19.9% Tilt -12.7%
1804º General ELO ranking 1817º
24º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
49%
Vargas Torres
27.8%
Draw
23.2%
San Antonio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
Vargas Torres
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
23.2%
Win probability
San Antonio
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vargas Torres
+11%
+10%
San Antonio

Points and table prediction

Vargas Torres
Their league position
San Antonio
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
44
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vinotinto Ecuador
69
69
100%
Manta
60
60
100%
Guayaquil City
59
59
100%
Independiente Juniors
57
57
100%
9 de Octubre
47
47
100%
Gualaceo
47
47
100%
San Antonio
44
44
100%
Leones
37
37
100%
Vargas Torres
33
33
100%
Chacaritas
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vargas Torres
San Antonio
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Vargas Torres
San Antonio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vargas Torres
Vargas Torres
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 2024
RIV
Guayaquil City
1 - 0
Vargas Torres
CSV
54%
27%
19%
65 72 7 0
08 Jun. 2024
CSV
Vargas Torres
0 - 1
Vinotinto Ecuador
CUN
29%
30%
41%
65 73 8 0
05 Jun. 2024
GUA
Gualaceo
0 - 0
Vargas Torres
CSV
52%
27%
21%
65 70 5 0
31 May. 2024
CSV
Vargas Torres
0 - 1
Manta
MAN
32%
31%
38%
65 72 7 0
23 May. 2024
LFC
Leones
2 - 2
Vargas Torres
CSV
31%
29%
40%
65 53 12 0

Matches

San Antonio
San Antonio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 2024
ESA
San Antonio
0 - 1
Leones
LFC
44%
26%
30%
56 54 2 0
09 Jun. 2024
OCT
9 de Octubre
2 - 1
San Antonio
ESA
61%
23%
16%
56 71 15 0
07 Jun. 2024
ESA
San Antonio
1 - 1
Chacaritas
CHA
31%
30%
40%
56 67 11 0
29 May. 2024
INJ
Independiente Juniors
2 - 0
San Antonio
ESA
63%
22%
14%
56 74 18 0
21 May. 2024
CUN
Vinotinto Ecuador
0 - 0
San Antonio
ESA
67%
20%
13%
55 71 16 +1