Vargas Torres vs Chacaritas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
9º
28
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 1
CSV
62%
24%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
CSV
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 1
AME
28%
29%
43%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
IMB
1 - 1
CSV
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 1
MAN
29%
30%
41%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
RIV
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
AME
3 - 1
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
INJ
33%
28%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 2
CHA
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |