Copa Chile 1/16
Global 1-5
Rangers Talca vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 10
CSD
10%
17%
73%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 2
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DLS
0 - 0
CSD
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 2
UCO
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
DSC
2 - 4
CSD
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
NUB
3 - 0
HUA
42%
26%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 4
NUB
4%
11%
86%
|
76 | 11 | 65 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
UCH
0 - 0
NUB
46%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NUB
2 - 2
OHI
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
IQU
2 - 1
NUB
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |