Macará vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
UCE
2 - 2
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
DEL
1 - 0
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
ORE
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
EME
4 - 0
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 1
BSC
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEL
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
EME
2 - 2
RIV
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
UCE
1 - 1
RIV
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
RIV
3 - 0
CUE
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 0
AUC
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |