Macará vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
EME
3 - 0
MAC
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
3 - 2
OLM
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
IVT
4 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 2
RIV
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
BSC
3 - 0
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
MUS
36%
27%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MUS
0 - 2
IVT
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 2
OCT
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AUC
1 - 1
MUS
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MUS
6 - 1
DEL
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +2 |