Macará vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
27.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
CLA
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 0
TEC
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 3
MAC
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
GUA
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAN
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 1
LOJ
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LDU
2 - 1
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
TEC
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |