Macará vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MAC
3 - 3
TEC
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
OLM
0 - 0
MAC
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
DPT
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
FAM
1 - 0
MAC
56%
26%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
MUN
0 - 3
MAC
31%
28%
42%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 2
OLM
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FAM
0 - 0
MAN
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 2
GUA
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DPT
1 - 1
MAN
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
IVT
4 - 0
MAN
67%
20%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -2 |