Macará vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
OLM
3 - 2
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 0
TEC
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
EME
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
IVT
0 - 3
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
IVT
1 - 0
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
NAC
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LOJ
1 - 2
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 0
CUE
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
BSC
30%
30%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |