Macará vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 2
MAC
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 1
DEL
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAC
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
GUA
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
DEL
1 - 0
MAC
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
IMB
2 - 1
MAN
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LDU
1 - 0
IMB
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
IMB
2 - 0
DEP
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 0
IMB
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
IMB
2 - 0
LDU
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |