Macará vs Gualaceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
5 - 3
MAC
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 0
MUS
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAC
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
AUC
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
MAC
31%
29%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ORE
4 - 1
GUA
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
BSC
23%
28%
49%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MUS
2 - 0
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 3
TEC
37%
30%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
IVT
2 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |