Serie A - Segunda Initial Phase Round 18

Macará vs CS Emelec analysis

Macará CS Emelec
80 ELO 77
-16.4% Tilt -5.3%
668º General ELO ranking 745º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
43.9%
Macará
28.7%
Draw
27.3%
CS Emelec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
Macará
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
27.3%
Win probability
CS Emelec
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Macará
-8%
+5%
CS Emelec

ELO progression

Macará
CS Emelec
Barcelona SC
CD El Nacional
Libertad FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Macará
Macará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jun. 2025
MAC
Macará
1 - 0
Vinotinto Ecuador
CUN
37%
28%
35%
80 80 0 0
17 Jun. 2025
ORE
Orense
1 - 0
Macará
MAC
43%
27%
30%
80 80 0 0
31 May. 2025
MAC
Macará
2 - 2
Manta
MAN
46%
28%
26%
80 76 4 0
25 May. 2025
CAL
Libertad FC
0 - 1
Macará
MAC
38%
27%
35%
80 76 4 0
18 May. 2025
MAC
Macará
1 - 1
CD El Nacional
NAC
39%
28%
33%
80 78 2 0

Matches

CS Emelec
CS Emelec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jun. 2025
UCE
Universidad Católica
1 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
55%
24%
20%
77 80 3 0
21 Jun. 2025
EME
CS Emelec
2 - 2
Delfín
DEL
31%
29%
41%
77 80 3 0
01 Jun. 2025
EME
CS Emelec
1 - 0
Orense
ORE
35%
30%
35%
77 80 3 0
26 May. 2025
NAC
CD El Nacional
2 - 0
CS Emelec
EME
51%
26%
24%
77 78 1 0
19 May. 2025
BSC
Barcelona SC
2 - 0
CS Emelec
EME
50%
26%
24%
78 80 2 -1