Primera A 1 Phase Round 1

Macará vs CS Emelec analysis

Macará CS Emelec
74 ELO 71
-17.3% Tilt -18.4%
697º General ELO ranking 740º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
49.5%
Macará
26.6%
Draw
23.9%
CS Emelec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
Macará
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
23.9%
Win probability
CS Emelec
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Macará
-10%
-5%
CS Emelec

ELO progression

Macará
CS Emelec
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Macará
Macará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2002
NAC
CD El Nacional
0 - 1
Macará
MAC
46%
29%
25%
74 78 4 0
05 Oct. 2002
MAC
Macará
0 - 0
Liga de Quito
LIG
49%
28%
24%
74 75 1 0
28 Sep. 2002
AUC
Aucas
0 - 1
Macará
MAC
50%
27%
23%
74 74 0 0
22 Sep. 2002
MAC
Macará
0 - 0
Barcelona SC
BSC
42%
29%
29%
74 78 4 0
15 Sep. 2002
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
0 - 0
Macará
MAC
50%
27%
24%
74 76 2 0

Matches

CS Emelec
CS Emelec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Dec. 2003
EME
CS Emelec
1 - 4
CD El Nacional
NAC
42%
27%
30%
73 80 7 0
21 Dec. 2003
NAC
CD El Nacional
5 - 2
CS Emelec
EME
60%
23%
17%
74 80 6 -1
14 Dec. 2003
EME
CS Emelec
0 - 0
Dep. Quito
QUI
47%
26%
28%
74 76 2 0
10 Dec. 2003
BSC
Barcelona SC
3 - 0
CS Emelec
EME
57%
25%
18%
74 80 6 0
05 Dec. 2003
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
4 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
55%
23%
22%
75 76 1 -1