Macará vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAC
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LDU
1 - 1
MAC
33%
29%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
BSC
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
TEC
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
LDU
1 - 1
MAC
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 2
OLM
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
EME
2 - 0
QUI
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 0
ESP
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
QUI
3 - 0
LDU
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TEC
0 - 1
QUI
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |