Macará vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
TEC
3 - 0
MAC
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CLA
0 - 1
MAC
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 0
COL
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 4
MAC
46%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 0
IMB
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
OLM
1 - 0
ESP
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 0
CLA
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
ESP
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 1
MAN
39%
28%
32%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
IMB
4 - 0
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |