Copa Libertadores qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 0-2
Macará vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
DEL
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
DEL
2 - 1
MAC
49%
27%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 2
EME
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
EME
1 - 2
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BUC
0 - 0
TOL
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 2
IND
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 2
JUN
42%
28%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 1
CUC
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |