Primera A 1 Phase 1st Stage Round 16

Macará vs Delfín analysis

Macará Delfín
75 ELO 78
-2.5% Tilt 0.3%
690º General ELO ranking 746º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
42.4%
Macará
27.5%
Draw
30.1%
Delfín

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
Macará
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30%
Win probability
Delfín
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Macará
-13%
-7%
Delfín

ELO progression

Macará
Delfín
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Macará
Macará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2017
IVT
Independiente del Valle
1 - 0
Macará
MAC
58%
23%
19%
76 80 4 0
13 May. 2017
MAC
Macará
2 - 1
Guayaquil City
RIV
50%
26%
24%
76 73 3 0
07 May. 2017
LIG
Liga de Quito
2 - 3
Macará
MAC
45%
27%
28%
75 74 1 +1
30 Apr. 2017
MAC
Macará
0 - 3
Universidad Católica
UCE
34%
26%
40%
75 79 4 0
23 Apr. 2017
UCE
Universidad Católica
1 - 3
Macará
MAC
59%
23%
18%
74 80 6 +1

Matches

Delfín
Delfín
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2017
DEL
Delfín
1 - 0
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
52%
24%
23%
78 73 5 0
14 May. 2017
NAC
CD El Nacional
0 - 0
Delfín
DEL
42%
27%
32%
78 74 4 0
07 May. 2017
DEL
Delfín
1 - 0
Clan Juvenil
CLA
66%
22%
12%
77 69 8 +1
01 May. 2017
EME
CS Emelec
1 - 1
Delfín
DEL
59%
23%
18%
77 81 4 0
23 Apr. 2017
DEL
Delfín
3 - 3
CS Emelec
EME
37%
27%
36%
77 81 4 0