Macará vs Chacaritas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
11.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
1º
43
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 1
MAC
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
IMB
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
OCT
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
MAC
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
AME
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAN
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
AME
2 - 3
CHA
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
CSV
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
CHA
44%
29%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
INJ
0 - 0
CHA
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |