Macará vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
LIG
2 - 2
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 0
CUE
40%
28%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
MAC
3 - 1
EME
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
LIG
1 - 1
MAC
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 0
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
TEC
2 - 2
UCE
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 2
TEC
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
BSC
2 - 0
TEC
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
TEC
0 - 2
CUE
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 3
TEC
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +2 |