Macará vs Colón FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAC
36%
27%
38%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
IMB
56%
24%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
OLM
1 - 1
MAC
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 0
QUI
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LOJ
1 - 1
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Colón FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
COL
1 - 2
CLA
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LDU
2 - 0
COL
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
COL
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
IMB
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TEC
2 - 1
COL
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |