Macará vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
OLM
3 - 3
MAC
43%
29%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 0
ESP
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 0
MAC
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 0
EME
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 1
MAC
46%
29%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
AUC
1 - 1
BSC
32%
29%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
LIG
2 - 3
AUC
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
EME
1 - 0
AUC
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
AUC
2 - 0
OLM
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
AUC
1 - 2
BSC
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |