Macará vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
LIG
0 - 0
MAC
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 3
NAC
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
QUI
0 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIG
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ESP
0 - 2
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
AUC
0 - 2
OLM
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2002 |
ESP
0 - 3
AUC
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
BSC
0 - 1
AUC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
AUC
0 - 2
CUE
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
AUC
0 - 0
EME
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |