Macará vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
1º
44
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
MAC
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
AME
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
MAC
23%
29%
48%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 0
CSV
62%
24%
14%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 3
MAC
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
OCT
4 - 2
IMB
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
OCT
0 - 1
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
OCT
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
OCT
3 - 2
CHA
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
INJ
1 - 0
OCT
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |