Independiente del Valle vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 1
IVT
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
PAL
5 - 0
IVT
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
IVT
1 - 1
DYJ
40%
26%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
IVT
2 - 1
OCT
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 2
IVT
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
DYJ
3 - 0
UNI
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 1
SPC
25%
24%
52%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 3
PAL
16%
26%
58%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |