Copa Libertadores . Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Independiente del Valle vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 0
IVT
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 4
UCE
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 0
IVT
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
IVT
2 - 0
RIV
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
COL
0 - 0
IVT
36%
24%
40%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
PUM
1 - 1
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
PUM
2 - 0
TAC
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
QRO
2 - 1
PUM
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
TAC
1 - 0
PUM
33%
26%
40%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PUM
3 - 1
TIJ
57%
22%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |