Independiente del Valle vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LIG
4 - 3
IVT
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
IVT
2 - 0
CUE
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 5
IVT
23%
25%
53%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
IVT
3 - 3
BSC
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
UCE
2 - 1
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 3
DEP
57%
21%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
RÑU
65%
19%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
GUA
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 2
CCP
54%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |