Independiente del Valle vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
BSC
0 - 4
IVT
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 1
UCE
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 1
LIG
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
2 - 0
IVT
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
IVT
0 - 0
CUN
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
AUC
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
EME
0 - 0
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CUN
1 - 2
MAC
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 0
ORE
40%
29%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 0
TEC
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |