Independiente del Valle vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
OCT
4 - 1
IVT
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LIG
2 - 2
IVT
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 0
OCT
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
IVT
2 - 0
DEL
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 3
IVT
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
5 - 3
MAC
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 0
MUS
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAC
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
AUC
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |